Global
DP22003 Unequal Returns: Industrialization and the Concentration of Wealth
This working paper studies how changes in the distribution of capital returns after the Industrial Revolution shaped wealth.
ECONOMICS · RESEARCH & IDEAS
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Global
DP21994 Will AI Help or Hurt Work and the Economy? What People Around the World Expect
This working paper investigates what adults across countries expect from AI, including its potential to complement workers or replace labour.
Global
L'illusion de la cheminée : qui paie réellement pour la neutralité carbone ?
This French-language column discusses carbon taxation and who bears the costs of carbon neutrality; its estimates should be consulted in the original.
Global
DP21996 Hedging Trade-Cost Uncertainty
This working paper studies how international firms hedge trade-cost uncertainty, including adjustments between exporting and foreign investment.
Global
Geopolitical risk is reshaping global finance, one bank loan at a time
This research highlight examines bank lending and global finance as geopolitical tensions reshape trade, investment and capital flows.
Global
DP22000 The Investment Channel of Monetary Policy: Disentangling Firm Heterogeneity
This working paper studies the investment channel of monetary policy through differences in firm characteristics.
Global
DP21999 Evaluating the Spatial Consequences of a Climate Tipping Point
This working paper considers the spatial consequences of a climate tipping point, focusing on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation.
Global
DP21998 PPML and Heavy-Tailed Trade and Factor Flows: Why Standard Inference Fails and How to Fix It
This working paper examines statistical inference with Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood in gravity models when trade and factor flows have heavy tails.
Global
Lifting the curtain on the EU’s debt
This column examines EU debt as responses to major shocks have made the EU a significant borrower in international financial markets.
Global
DP21995 Fiscal Constraints on Monetary Policy: How Debt Limits Monetary Effectiveness
This working paper studies how the fiscal effects of monetary policy, and when they are resolved, matter for monetary transmission.
Global
DP21991 From Importer to Exporter: Oil Shocks and the U.S. Economy
The study examines how the shale revolution and the U.S. shift from petroleum importer to net exporter have altered the macroeconomic impacts of oil shocks.
Global
DP21990 A Mechanism for Addressing Participation and Compliance for the Provision of Global Public Goods
In a three-stage global public good coalition formation game, Kornek and Edenhofer (2020) propose a transfer scheme in the spirit of mechanism design which
Europe
DP21992 Beyond the Short Run: Monetary Policy and Innovation Investment
This study examines how monetary policy affects innovation investment using a survey of German firms, which report an average 20% persistent reduction in innovation investment.
Europe
DP21997 Quantifying Non-Tariff Barriers: Brexit, Input Sourcing and Firm Performance
This working paper examines the impact of Brexit on UK firms' input sourcing and sales, assessing the success of European integration in removing non-tariff trade barriers.
Global
Better work, not always better workers
Professional judgement develops through experience, but AI may disrupt this learning process. This column examines how randomized access affects it.
Global
DP21993 Financial Conditions Targeting
This working paper discusses how non-fundamental inflows into the stock market loosen financial conditions and increase output, with the policy rate responding gradually.
Asia Pacific
DP21989 Too Little too Late? Nationwide Carbon Trading in China
China launched a nationwide, rate-based carbon market in 2021 covering the world's largest CO2 emitter, with compliance based on carbon emission intensity.
Global
DP21988 AI and the Market for Signals
We introduce an AI industry into a career signaling model in which early-career work both signals a worker's ability and builds her long-run skills.
Global
DP21982 Prompted to Start: How Generative AI is Transforming Entrepreneurship
We show that following the diffusion of GenAI, industries with higher task-level exposure experience 20% more startup formation than less-exposed industries, and a growing
Europe
DP21984 Trust and Investment Loss: Evidence from UK Financial Corporate Failures
How does experiencing direct investment loss affect individuals’ trust in the financial system? Exploiting recent UK corporate financial failures that generated press headlines, government
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American Economic Association
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